(ConservativeSense.com) – Former President Donald Trump’s popularity among independent voters appears to be dropping, according to a recent poll.
Last month, President Joe Biden was confirmed as the incumbent Democratic nominee and a rematch with Trump is now a foregone conclusion, but the two appear to be neck and neck in general election projection polls. That close tie could be broken by independent voters this November, depending on how many turn out to the polls.
A number of polls since have looked at predictions of the general election ahead, with some of them suggesting Trump in the lead and others indicating Biden as the victor. For the most part, the polls show the president and former president are virtually neck and neck with seven more months to go until ballots are cast. In those seven months, a lot could certainly happen to change these numbers, and independent voters may be the determining factor of who wins.
A new Marist National Poll shows Trump might have a hard time winning over many of these independents. The poll was conducted in mid-April, from the 16th to the 18th, and surveyed 1,192 voters. The survey found that Trump’s support has declined from 38% in an early April poll to 30% among independents when independent and third-party candidates are included. The survey included candidates Cornel West, Jill Stein, and Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Biden’s popularity among independents went up from 33% to 34% since early April. Kennedy is up from 21% to 27% support from these voters, whom his campaign is specifically geared towards, as well as pulling as many voters from both major parties as possible.
When respondents are only given two candidates as an option, Biden and Trump are tied 49% and 49% with independent voters. Previous polls from Marist showed Trump with a 7% lead: Biden was at 45% and Trump came in at 52%.
The overall support for Biden and Trump came in at 51% to 48%, showing a narrow lead for the president that has gone up by one point since early April. When factoring in the margin of error, it’s safe to say the two candidates are tied in the race, overall.
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