Recent Plane Crashes Fuel Concerns, But Data Suggests They’re Not Abnormal

Recent Plane Crashes Fuel Concerns, But Data Suggests They're Not Abnormal

The recent rise in media attention on aviation incidents in the U.S. raises public concerns, but is air travel truly becoming riskier?

Quick Takes

  • Recent dramatic aviation incidents increase public apprehension.
  • However, data shows a steady or declining trend in aviation accidents.
  • Commercial aviation remains extremely safe across the globe.
  • Private aviation accounts for most accident statistics.

Understanding Recent Incidents

In recent months, incidents like a serious midair collision and a plane flipping in Toronto have dominated news headlines, unsettling many U.S. travelers. Such events provoke concerns and questions about the safety standards in aviation today. However, according to the National Transportation Safety Board, while these incidents are tragic, they are not representative of a systemic issue within the commercial aviation sector. The FAA continues to handle over 45,000 flights daily without incident.

In context, increased media coverage can skew public perception, making aviation appear more dangerous than data supports. It’s crucial to differentiate between general aviation and commercial aviation when assessing safety standards. Reports indicate that most commercial flights remain incident-free, making air travel far safer compared to road travel when measured in passenger deaths per mile.

Facts versus Fear

The aviation industry is always scrutinizing and enhancing its safety protocols, driven by both regulatory bodies and independent organizations. Aviation experts emphasize that the overall trend is one of a decreasing number of incidents, especially in commercial aviation. Between 2012 to 2022, an average of just 27 air carrier accidents per year occurred, with fewer than six involving fatalities. These numbers show improvements thanks to ongoing technical and operational advancements in aircraft and pilot training.

“Commercial aviation accidents like this are extremely rare, so when they happen, they get lots of attention,” Jeff Guzzetti, aviation safety consultant and former NTSB air safety investigator, recently stated. Reports indicate that overall, the recent number of aviation incidents is not that unusual.

Accidents in general aviation primarily involve private and part-time pilots, where pilot error is a significant cause. These statistics often drive misleading headlines about an alleged increase in air disasters. As such, the majority of the annual 1,100 aviation accidents do not involve commercial flights.

Perception and Progress

Despite media focus on U.S. aviation incidents, there remains a growing public perception of heightened danger in flying. According to an Associated Press survey, recent events have diminished consumer confidence to some extent. Yet, a BBC Verify analysis confirmed a general decline in air accident rates over the decades. The International Civil Aviation Organization points to a global decrease in accidents per million departures since 2005.

Regulatory bodies encourage transparency in incidents and require thorough investigations, in order to maintain high levels of safety. Public scrutiny may prompt further enhancements in safety policies and technology.

Sources

  1. Has There Been an Increase in Plane Crashes? Here’s What the Data Show
  2. Are there more plane accidents happening this year? That’s not what federal data shows
  3. Are planes crashing more often?